Friday, October 20, 2006

rest and speculation

Graph of 23 mile runs (5 laps around lake B) on 4/16 (red) and 10/8 (blue).

Argh. I'm going taper crazy. How will I do at MCM?!

The data so far... (redo with 18 weeks)

April 2, ran 1:19:25 10-mile race (mcmillan predicted 3:42 marathon)

Nov 21 - Apr 16, 21 weeks, 833 miles, 40 mpw avg, 1 week over 60 mpw, long runs: 1x26.2, 1x23, 2x20, 1x18, 1x17, 1x16, 1x15

April 16, last long run 23 miles = 5 x 4.6 mile laps (avg temp 62)
lap 1: 47:27/141
lap 2: 47:41/142
lap 3: 48:44/147
lap 4: 50:46/156
lap 5: 52:23/160
total: 4:07:02/150 bpm average

May 7, ran 4:00:03 marathon on pretty hilly course with ideal weather

October 1, 1:04:02 half marathon (mcmillan predicts 3:31 marathon)

May 8 - Oct 8, 1173 miles in 22 weeks, 53 mpw, 4 weeks over 60 mpw, long runs: 1x23, 4x20, 6x18, 4x16, 2x14

October 8, last long run 23 miles = 5 x 4.6 mile laps (avg temp 59)
lap 1: 49:42/131
lap 2: 48:59/134
lap 3: 49:10/138
lap 4: 51:03/144
lap 5: 50:07/152
total: 4:09:03/140 bpm average

October 29, will run ??:??:?? marathon on flatter course with ????? weather

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