By the way, this run was pretty hard (STraM called it "overreaching"). No guilt needed for missing the 10K on the schedule. In fact, this was hard enough I think I'll remember it during the 16 miler tomorrow. (Yesterday's back pain seems to have disappeared though thankfully.)
The experiment. As I planned earlier, I attempted to find my lactate threshold by running a series of 1200 meter intervals of increasing pace while wearing my suunto t6. A picture is worth a thousand words
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I ran 7 x 1200-meter intervals with the following paces and heart rates: 9:51 min/mi (146 bpm), 9:12 (157), 8:41 (166), 8:20 (172), 7:57 (177), 7:33 (183), 7:05 (189)
Analysis. I used Willem Minten's t6 Swiss Army Knife (SAK) version v2.3.0, which can be downloaded from the WristopTrainers yahoo group files section. I imported my sdf file in and looked at the fitness thresholds tab. This is the graph I got.
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The HR versus VO2 line, however, seems wrong. I guess its confused by the low heart rate from the slow jogs to the track and back (and stopping at the red light). Should I split the log, including only the 7x1200 intervals, and try again? If the only purpose of the line is to fit the heart rates, then I can do that by eye. It looks to me like the red dots at VO2 = 39.5 are at about 176 bpm.
I can then use 176 to interpolate between 8:20 min/mi or 7.20 mph @ 172 bpm and 7:57 min/mi or 7.55 mph @ 177 bpm. 7.20 + (176-172)*(7.55-7.20)/(177-172) = 7.48 mph or 8:01 min/mi pace.
My marathon pace should then be .95 * 7.48 mph = 8:26 min/mi. If I use the book Lactate Threshold's 94.3%, I get a slightly slower 8:30 min/mi.
Before, I looked at various marathon pace calculations based on my 10K race time of 47:21 and they came between 8:29 and 8:35 min/mi. So everything seems to line up. Of course today's run was on a track, so maybe my pace at LT is a little slower on a road course (although my marathon should be pretty flat and hopefully less windy).
While the pace at LT seemed to confirm what I knew, I did pick up my heart rate at lactate threshold (if I did this right): 176 bpm. If my max heart rate is still ~200 bpm then that's 88% MaxHR. I'm no longer sure of my Max HR though.
Is my MaxHR lower now? I felt like the last 1200 meters was close to redline and I tried to sprint down the straightaway to see if I could get my max. I got about 60 meters before deciding I wasn't going to get much higher. The most I saw was 191. In last fall's 5 miler I averaged 186 bpm and maxed at 199 crossing the finish link. I noted that my 10K heartrate seem much lower and topped out at 190 near the end. Is the 190 a result of the greater distance and just being too tired to max out or has my Max HR actually dropped? Here's a graph comparing today, the 10K two weeks ago, and the 5 miler last fall. I have EPOC on there just to show that today was a tough run!
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Update: Pete Pfitzinger says here that the max hr of an untrained person can decrease by 7% with training. Now, having finished a marathon 3 weeks before the 5 miler (and having run a 10K in between), I wouldn't say I was untrained, but is it possible it's gone down since because I'm in better shape?
Should I retune STram and try again? Besides my max hr potentially being wrong, my METS and respitory rate could use tuning. I played with the STraM tuning page and using my 10K time from two weeks ago I get a METS of 13.5. I had 13.1 in STraM based on my 5 miler last fall. My breathing topped out 55 bpm (as I've seen in other max efforts). SAK suggests using 57 bpm. I still have the (strangely low) default value of 41 bpm in STraM. I believe changing these will alter VO2 and VE at lactate threshold, but unless the shape of the curves change significantly I don't think the values I care about, heart rate and speed, will change much.
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